Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#80
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#82
Pace58.9#346
Improvement+1.9#101

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+5.9#37
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#341
Layup/Dunks-0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#35
Freethrows-0.1#178
Improvement-3.1#302

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#62
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#25
Layups/Dunks+2.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#318
Freethrows+4.8#5
Improvement+5.0#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round21.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 142   Colorado St. L 78-84 79%     0 - 1 -7.5 -1.2 -6.2
  Nov 17, 2015 54   Stephen F. Austin W 70-60 51%     1 - 1 +16.8 +2.0 +15.1
  Nov 21, 2015 3   North Carolina W 71-67 17%     2 - 1 +21.3 +8.2 +13.2
  Nov 28, 2015 200   @ North Dakota W 97-51 73%     3 - 1 +46.5 +24.9 +20.7
  Nov 30, 2015 290   North Texas W 93-70 95%     4 - 1 +11.6 +14.3 -2.5
  Dec 05, 2015 103   @ Richmond L 67-82 46%     4 - 2 -7.1 -2.6 -5.1
  Dec 08, 2015 196   @ George Mason W 73-65 72%     5 - 2 +8.8 +6.6 +2.7
  Dec 12, 2015 116   @ New Mexico L 57-76 53%     5 - 3 -12.9 -11.0 -2.9
  Dec 19, 2015 18   Iowa St. W 81-79 21%     6 - 3 +17.4 +11.5 +5.9
  Dec 22, 2015 68   @ Hawaii L 52-68 35%     6 - 4 -4.9 -9.6 +3.4
  Dec 23, 2015 169   Washington St. W 63-59 76%     7 - 4 +3.5 -2.1 +6.0
  Dec 25, 2015 50   BYU L 76-84 37%     7 - 5 +2.3 +5.6 -3.0
  Dec 30, 2015 314   Bradley W 80-44 96%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +22.8 +19.7 +8.7
  Jan 02, 2016 135   @ Southern Illinois L 73-75 58%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +2.9 +8.5 -5.7
  Jan 06, 2016 221   @ Missouri St. L 58-59 77%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -1.6 -2.3 +0.5
  Jan 09, 2016 254   Drake W 77-44 92%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +24.6 +6.8 +21.8
  Jan 13, 2016 165   @ Indiana St. L 60-74 67%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -11.5 -3.7 -8.6
  Jan 16, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago L 41-51 84%     9 - 9 2 - 4 -13.7 -24.5 +9.2
  Jan 20, 2016 24   Wichita St. L 55-74 33%     9 - 10 2 - 5 -7.4 +0.4 -10.9
  Jan 23, 2016 121   @ Illinois St. L 67-76 54%     9 - 11 2 - 6 -3.1 +5.0 -8.9
  Jan 27, 2016 314   @ Bradley W 68-50 90%     10 - 11 3 - 6 +10.7 +11.2 +2.9
  Jan 31, 2016 135   Southern Illinois W 67-58 77%     11 - 11 4 - 6 +8.1 -4.6 +13.0
  Feb 03, 2016 78   Evansville W 57-54 61%     12 - 11 5 - 6 +7.1 -5.1 +12.6
  Feb 06, 2016 254   @ Drake W 82-66 82%     13 - 11 6 - 6 +13.4 +21.7 -5.1
  Feb 10, 2016 221   Missouri St. W 83-69 89%     14 - 11 7 - 6 +7.5 +13.6 -5.3
  Feb 13, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. W 53-50 16%     15 - 11 8 - 6 +20.5 +1.0 +19.9
  Feb 17, 2016 175   @ Loyola Chicago L 56-59 68%     15 - 12 8 - 7 -0.8 -9.9 +8.9
  Feb 20, 2016 121   Illinois St. W 75-66 75%     16 - 12 9 - 7 +9.0 +12.3 -2.3
  Feb 24, 2016 165   Indiana St. W 66-44 83%     17 - 12 10 - 7 +18.7 +3.0 +18.2
  Feb 27, 2016 78   @ Evansville W 54-52 39%     18 - 12 11 - 7 +11.9 -4.4 +16.7
  Mar 04, 2016 135   Southern Illinois W 66-60 68%     19 - 12 +8.0 -3.4 +11.7
  Mar 05, 2016 24   Wichita St. W 57-52 OT 24%     20 - 12 +19.5 -1.1 +21.0
  Mar 06, 2016 78   Evansville W 56-54 50%     21 - 12 +9.0 -0.5 +10.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.7 0.3 35.4 62.1 2.2
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.3 35.4 62.1 2.2